AZ-02

Partisan Voter Index (PVI): R+6

Likely Republican

O’Halleran has been serving as the U.S House Representative for Arizona’s 1st congressional district since 2017. Prior to serving as the U.S House of Representatives, O’Halleran was an Arizona State Senator for the 1st district for the Republican Party from 2007 to 2009. Previously, O’Halleran served on the Chicago Board of Trade and was a small business owner.

Redistricting had a huge impact on AZ-02, changing it from a slightly Republican district (PVI of R+2) to a much more Republican-leaning (PVI of R+6). In 2020, Rep. O’Holleran was reelected by 3.2 points, and President Biden won the district by 2 points. Under the new district lines, former President Trump would have won by 8 points. Rep. O’Holleran will have one of the most difficult paths to reelection. Redistricting had a huge impact on AZ-02, changing it from a slightly Republican district (PVI of R+2) to a much more Republican-leaning (PVI of R+6). In 2020, Rep. O’Holleran was reelected by 3.2 points, and President Biden won the district by 2 points. Under the new district lines, former President Trump would have won by 8 points. Rep. O’Holleran will have one of the most difficult paths to reelection. He is running against Eli Crane who secured the Republican nomination after a competitive six-way primary in August. Crane is a former Navy SEAL and businessman. In the third quarter of 2022, O’Halleran raised $990,000 and has around $1.8 million in cash on hand, while Republican nominee Crane raised $1 million and has $560,000 cash on hand.