KS-03

Partisan Voter Index (PVI): R+1

Democratic Toss Up

Davids has been serving as the U.S House Representative for the 3rd Congressional District of Kansas since 2019. Davids is one of two Native American women to have serve in Congress. Additionally, she is the first LGBTQIA+ Native American to serve in Congress. Prior to her position in Congress, Davids was an attorney, a professional mixed martial artist, and a White House Fellow.

Republicans approached the congressional redistricting process in Kansas with one objective: to make Rep Davids’ district as Republican as possible. Under the new lines, Davids faces a difficult path to reelection. The new district splits up Wyandotte County, where Kansas City is located. This will shift the slim Democratic-lean in the district to a Republican-lean. Rep. Davids flipped this seat in 2018, defeating the Republican incumbent by 9.7 points. In 2020, Davids was reelected by 10 points, and President Biden won the district by 10.8 points. Under the new district lines, President Biden would have won the seat by 4.5 points. As the only Democratic member of Congress in Kansas, Republicans are expected to target this seat greatly. The state Supreme Court upheld the Republican-passed congressional map, stating it did not violate the state constitution. This clears the way for the map to be used in November. On August 2, Amanda Adkins secured the Republican Party nomination. Adkins is a businessperson who was the chair of the Kansas Republican Party from 2009 to 2013. She ran against Davids in 2020 and lost by 10 points. But with new district lines, Adkins has an easier path to unseat Davids in November. In the third quarter of 2022, Davids raised over $2 million and has around $1.5 million in cash on hand, while Adkins raised $899,000 and has $900,000 in cash on hand. Additionally on August 2, Kansans voted on a ballot mesure to amend the state constituion on whether or not to remove protections of abortion rights. The referendum failed in a resounding nature; 58% of voters ( 543,855 votes) voted against the amendment, thus abortion protections will remain in the Kansas constituion. Several states will have similar ballot measures in November and will provide an opportunity for voters to make their feelings on abortion access known.